December 2007 Visa Bulletin: India faces EB2 Retrogression

The December 2007 Visa Bulletin, released by the U.S. Department of State (DOS), show considerable retrogression in the cut off dates of the EB2 category for Indians and Chinese nationals. The EB2 cutoff date for China has now moved back to January 1, 2003 while the cutoff dates for India has moved back to January 1, 2002. The December Visa Bulletin will come into effect from December 1, 2007.

Employment Based Categories

Categories
Worldwide
China (PRC)
India
Mexico
Philippines
1st
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
2nd
Current
01-01-03
01-01-02
Current
Current
3rd
09-01-02
10-15-01
05-01-01
04-22-01
09-01-02
Unskilled
10-01-01
10-01-01
10-01-01
10-01-01
10-01-01
4th
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Religious
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
5th
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
  • EB-1 (Priority Workers) is current for all countries this December.
  • EB-2 (Advanced Degrees Holders or Persons of Exceptional Ability) is current for all countries except Indian and China, for whom the cut off dates have retrogressed.
  • EB-3 (Skilled Workers, Professionals, and Other Workers) has moved forward for all countries except Mexico which remains same and Philippines which show a small retrogression.

Family Based Categories

Categories
Worldwide
China (PRC)
India
Mexico
Philippines
1st
01-08-02
01-08-02
01-08-02
07-01-92
09-22-92
2A
01-15-03
01-15-03
01-15-03
05-01-02
01-15-03
2B
10-15-98
10-15-98
10-15-98
03-15-92
01-01-97
3rd
04-08-00
04-08-00
04-08-00
07-08-92
04-01-91
4th
06-22-97
10-08-96
08-15-96
09-22-94
11-08-85
  • F-1 (Unmarried Sons and Daughters of Citizens) moved forward by one month to 8th Jan 2002 for all countries and 1stnd September 1992
  • F – 2A (Spouses & Children) moved forward by one month to 15th January 2003 for all countries except Mexico which remains the same.
  • F – 2B (Unmarried Sons and Daughters) moved forward by one month to 15 October 1998 for all countries except Mexico, which actually retrogressed by 7 days and Philippines have moved forward by almost 15 days to 1st January 1997.
  • F – 3 (Married Sons and Daughters of Citizens) moved forward by 15 days for all the countries.
  • F – 4 (Brothers and Sisters of Adult Citizens) again shows movement for all countries. The cut-off dates-July 1992 for Mexico, whereas Philippines has moved forward by almost two months to 22

1.     Worldwide moves forward by a month to 22nd June 1997
2.     India move forward a by nearly two months to 15th August 1996
3.     China moves forward by a month to 8th October 1996;
4.     Mexico it moves forward by one month to 22nd September 1994;

5.     Philippines moves forward by three months to 8th November 1985

Predictions
According the December 2007 Visa Bulletin, EB3 for Worldwide and Philippines may show slow forward movement. For EB3 “Other Workers” the Bulletin predicts little if any forward movement and even states that there may be retrogression at some point later in the fiscal year.

EB1 for CHINA-mainland born and INDIA may end up with cut-off dates at some point in future. EB2 for these countries have already been exhausted by 38%.  The Bulletin predicts that if the December retrogressions does not slow demand, further retrogression is very likely.